10.17889/E109687
Kawai, Kei
Watanabe, Yasutora
Replication data for: Inferring Strategic Voting
ICPSR Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research
2012
10.1257/aer.103.2.624
10.1257/aer.103.2.624
V0
We estimate a model of strategic voting and quantify the impact it
has on election outcomes. Because the model exhibits multiplicity of
outcomes, we adopt a set estimator. Using Japanese general-election
data, we find a large fraction (63.4 percent, 84.9 percent) of strategic
voters, only a small fraction (1.4 percent, 4.2 percent) of whom voted
for a candidate other than the one they most preferred (misaligned
voting). Existing empirical literature has not distinguished between
the two, estimating misaligned voting instead of strategic voting.
Accordingly, while our estimate of strategic voting is high, our
estimate of misaligned voting is comparable to previous studies.
(JEL D72)